Early voting shows Harris struggling in key states
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While polling for the 2024 presidential race has garnered significant attention, the most crucial data in the election is already showing promise for the Republican party.
At a recent rally for Vice President Kamala Harris, attendees expressed concerns about her potential loss to former President Donald Trump. One Maryland student confided to the Daily Caller, “I’m very nervous, honestly. I think Trump might win. I don’t know,” as her friend nodded in agreement.
Georgia hits record as early voting ends today ahead of Election Day – @CELLIOTTTV on @fox32news from Powder Springs with the numbers pic.twitter.com/cIMdHRnAMI
— Fox News MMR (@FoxNewsMMR) November 1, 2024
Although the outcome of the November 5 election remains uncertain, early voting results in key battleground states are favoring Republicans, which could be cause for concern for Harris and her supporters.
Traditionally, Democrats have held an advantage in early voting. However, the 2024 data from critical states like Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia, and Michigan demonstrates significant Republican gains.
In Pennsylvania, the Democratic lead has shrunk considerably compared to 2020. Current figures show Democrats with 894,400 ballots cast (57% of their voters) versus 515,900 for Republicans (33% of their voters). This represents a substantial decrease in the Democratic advantage from the previous election.
North Carolina š
Mail: 191,078 ballots
Early In-Person: 3,431,737 ballotsBallots by party registration:
š“ Republican 34.0% | 1,230,524 votes
āŖļø Other 33.4% | 1,208,372 votes
šµ Democratic 32.7% | 1,183,919 votes pic.twitter.com/3XV0o1h5jc— VoteHub (@VoteHubUS) November 1, 2024
Arizona presents an even more striking shift, with Republicans currently outpacing Democrats by 118,200 votes. This stands in stark contrast to 2020, when Democrats held a slight lead at this point in early voting.
Nevada has also seen a reversal, with Republicans now leading by 12,800 votes, compared to a 47,000-vote Democratic advantage in 2020. North Carolina, typically an early voting state, shows Republicans ahead by 100,000 votes, a significant change from the Democratic lead in 2020.
In Georgia, where Biden won by a narrow margin in 2020, Democrats currently hold a 100,000-vote lead in early voting. However, Republicans tend to perform strongly on Election Day itself, potentially closing this gap.
NEW: At Harris' closing argument the joy was high. But even at a high-energy, packed rally, some of her supporters expressed a sense of nervousness about what would happen Nov. 5 and beyond.
"I think Trump might win."
Only in @DailyCaller: https://t.co/bHmYd2478s
— Reagan Reese (@reaganreese_) October 30, 2024
Michigan remains a close contest, with Democrats holding a lead of about 200,000 votes in early voting, a smaller margin than in previous elections.
These early voting trends indicate that Harris may face challenges in states crucial to securing victory on November 5. While polling can fluctuate, actual vote tallies provide the most accurate picture of the race’s direction, and currently, they suggest Harris is struggling in key battleground states.
