Pollster Recommends Biden Drop Out Of 2024 Race
A key pollster recommended this week that President Joe Biden drop out of the 2024 presidential race. The comment came as the president faced significant polling struggles, including national and swing state surveys that indicate that he is trailing former President Donald Trump.
Nate Silver recommended that Biden consider leaving the 2024 race. He wrote on social media that “Dropping out would be a big risk. But there’s some threshold below which continuing to run is a bigger risk.”
He referenced the new poll of the president’s approval rating in the most recent 538 polling average. Biden’s approval rating is a bit higher than 37%.
“Are we there yet?” wrote Silver. “I don’t know. But it’s more than fair to ask.”
Silver previously stated that Biden should consider not running for another term. He came to prominence due to his polling analysis, allowing his company to work with the New York Times.
Silver and his 538 publication was one of the few that stated that Trump had a serious chance of winning the White House in 2016 against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, which was criticized by Democrats at the time.
The Biden campaign likely hoped that the felony conviction of the former president in a New York court last month would blunt his polling numbers. However, a series of polls taken since the conviction have shown little or no negative impact on Trump.
Furthermore, the former president has retained considerable strength in swing states. This includes a recent Fox News survey that had the former president with small but electorally considerable leads in Nevada, Florida and Arizona.
BRAND NEW POLL
Trump is TIED with Biden in Virginia.
Virginia, Minnesota and New Hampshire are now dead even.
That makes 10 swing states, and counting.pic.twitter.com/DWKepFCEgH
— Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) June 6, 2024
The same poll had Trump tied with Biden in Virginia, which no Republican presidential candidate has won in 20 years. The former president also tied with Biden in two recent surveys in Minnesota.
The recent Fox News poll came as other swing state polls have shown Trump leading in most of the states that will likely decide the 2024 election.
